According to @cas_abbe, the probability of a U.S. December rate cut has jumped from about 35% a week ago to 84.7% today, referencing odds commonly derived from Fed funds futures pricing. Source: Cas Abbé on X, Nov 25, 2025; CME Group FedWatch Tool. @cas_abbe also states that Core PPI came in lower than expected, which he says should further boost rate-cut odds. Source: Cas Abbé on X, Nov 25, 2025. For traders, the macro backdrop matters for crypto because crypto prices have increasingly moved in sync with equities since 2020, making BTC and ETH sensitive to policy-easing signals. Source: International Monetary Fund blog, 2022, Crypto Prices Move in Sync With Stocks.

According to @cas_abbe, the US PPI and Core PPI prints are due today at 8:30 a.m. ET with consensus at 2.7% for both measures, source: @cas_abbe. According to @cas_abbe, the release is crucial as the odds of a rate cut next month are rising, source: @cas_abbe. According to @cas_abbe, a lower-than-expected PPI would increase rate-cut odds and lift the crypto market, source: @cas_abbe.

According to @cas_abbe, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Core PPI will be released today at 8:30am ET. According to @cas_abbe, the market expects both headline PPI and Core PPI MoM at 0.3%. According to @cas_abbe, last month’s PPI release coincided with a sharp sell-off, so crypto traders should closely watch price action around the release window.

According to Stock Talk (@stocktalkweekly), the May US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data showed a year-over-year PPI of 2.6%, matching expectations, while the month-over-month figure was 0.1%, slightly below the 0.2% estimate. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, came in at 3.0% year-over-year versus the 3.1% estimate, and 0.1% month-over-month compared to the 0.3% forecast. For crypto traders, these softer-than-expected inflation figures may ease concerns about aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes, potentially supporting bullish sentiment for assets like BTC and ETH, as lower inflation can be favorable for risk assets. (Source: @stocktalkweekly, June 12, 2025)