According to @cas_abbe, the probability of a U.S. December rate cut has jumped from about 35% a week ago to 84.7% today, referencing odds commonly derived from Fed funds futures pricing. Source: Cas Abbé on X, Nov 25, 2025; CME Group FedWatch Tool. @cas_abbe also states that Core PPI came in lower than expected, which he says should further boost rate-cut odds. Source: Cas Abbé on X, Nov 25, 2025. For traders, the macro backdrop matters for crypto because crypto prices have increasingly moved in sync with equities since 2020, making BTC and ETH sensitive to policy-easing signals. Source: International Monetary Fund blog, 2022, Crypto Prices Move in Sync With Stocks.

According to @cas_abbe, the US PPI and Core PPI prints are due today at 8:30 a.m. ET with consensus at 2.7% for both measures, source: @cas_abbe. According to @cas_abbe, the release is crucial as the odds of a rate cut next month are rising, source: @cas_abbe. According to @cas_abbe, a lower-than-expected PPI would increase rate-cut odds and lift the crypto market, source: @cas_abbe.